Category Archives: Business

Goldman Sachs Helps Bankrupt Greece

Here is economist Simon Johnson’s take on the news that Goldman Sachs helped Greece hide the overwhelming debt that is currently forcing the European Union to bail out the birthplace of democracy.

Why Health Care is a Disaster

Today’s Wall Street Journal had a must read story with an example of why health care costs are out of control, and why a significant overhaul is going to be needed to fix them. In 2007 a major study demonstrated that in most cases, inserting a stent (a $15,000 procedure) to help chest pain was no more effective than using drugs alone. The study laid out the circumstances in which this was the case, and made clear that performing a stress test to determine the cause of the chest pain was a good idea before inserting a stent. The head of the American College of Cardiology called the study a “blockbuster.” Awesome: fewer surgical procedures, cheaper health care, same outcome. Good news, right?

Wrong! The study made no change in the number of stent procedures in the US. Why? Well for one thing, cardiologists make $900 per stenting procedure, which is why the average interventional cardiologist makes $500,000 per year, up 22% over the last decade after adjusting for inflation. As the author of the study put it, “What’s going to continue to drive practice is reimbursement.” But if the only challenge was the greed of doctors (regular Thoughtbasket readers know how I feel about doctors who see their practice as a path to riches), that could be addressed. Insurance companies could just pay less.

But insurance companies face a competitive problem: if one cuts payment for stents, maybe customers will go to another insurance company that doesn’t. Plus, since insurance companies usually mark up the cost of procedures anyway, they often don’t have a great incentive to push down the price doctors charge.

When Washington state tried to use the study to change its Medicaid rates, and wanted additional data, the stent makers and cardiologists in the state (including the cardiologists at the University of Washington…employees of the state!) refused to cooperate. Washington had to give up.

And patients get some blame too: as one cardiologist put it, if your doctor says “let’s try drugs first, and then maybe we’ll stent later,” you are likely to just find a doctor who will stent immediately. Americans tend to expect an immediate fix from their doctors.

So doctors, insurance companies and patients all essentially conspire to have unnecessary treatments that cost about $5 billion per year. That is $5 billion, each year, or 5% of the total cost of the health care bill currently in Congress. If something so simple and so clear is so hard to fix, how do we expect to bring other health care costs down?

Grover Norquist is a Terrible Person

Grover Norquist, founder of Americans for Tax Reform, inventor of the “starve the beast” approach to government, and hater of all things that aren’t middle or upper class, showed in today’s Wall Street Journal why he is so terrible. As he was shoveling snow outside ATR’s headquarters, he said:

“Think about it…a government which can’t plow the streets and can’t fix the potholes wants to tell us how our toilets should flush, what size cars we should drive and whether we should paper or plastic when we buy our groceries.”

Let’s ignore the piss-poor parallelism of his statement, as well as his conflation of local and national government initiatives, because that is mostly stupid, as opposed to mean, to focus on the substance of his remark. Because what he is saying is that since he and his fellow low tax crusaders have starved governments of the revenue needed to perform basic services (eg. plowing snow), government is therefore incompetent, and thus shouldn’t be trusted to do anything. I know, that is the entire modus operandi of starving the beast, but rarely do you get him to say it so clearly and cruelly.

Corporate Boards Need Better Members

Felix Salmon at Reuters savages Ruth Simmons, the President of Brown University and a member of Goldman’s board of directors. He points out how completely unqualified she is to provide governance to a financial firm, and how she seems more interested in the benefits her board membership can bring to her than she is in her fiduciary responsibility to shareholders. His points are true for many members of corporate boards. Board members need to provide tough, knowledgeable oversight, not a comfortable pillow for management’s decisions. The lack of strong boards is a major component in both corporate malfeasance and ludicrous executive pay schemes.

Judge Posner Embraces Keynes

Judge Richard Posner, at the University of Chicago, is a big wheel intellectual who virtually invented the economics and law analysis that currently dominates US jurisprudence, and who is as responsible as anyone outside of Milton Friedman for the Chicago School of economics and its embrace of free markets. So when Judge Posner announces that the Chicago School is wrong, that unfettered free markets don’t work, and that Keynes was right all along, that is a big freaking deal. Well here is an article by Judge Posner titled How I Became A Keynesian. Here is a link to a new book by Judge Posner about how free-market capitalism failed. Here are a bunch of interviews with Chicago economists who are all defensive about how their theories failed. It’s not that Judge Posner is the final arbiter of anything (in fact, my prior post on him was a strong disagreement with something he said), but when a main force behind a movement leaves that movement behind, we should at least pay attention.

iPad A Mixed Bag

I’m a little late in commenting on the iPad, but I did want to make a couple of quick points.

First, for those who call the iPad a PC-killer, think again. The iPad may be great for consuming information, but it’s not so good if you have to actually create information. In other words, if all you need is to browse the web, read things, and type a few emails, the Pad could be your everyday machine. If, in other words, you are a techie who wants a toy, or possibly a senior executive who reads documents but doesn’t create them. But if you actually have to produce work – documents, presentations, spreadsheets, accounting reports – then you are still going to want a device with a full-sized screen and keyboard, and the ability to easily cut and paste among the various applications. In other words, you want a real computer.

Second, the population of people who only need to consume information is probably pretty high, and the Pad pricing is low enough to appeal fairly broadly, so it could be a successful product. Could. But the tech business is littered with the carcasses of products that had feet in two different markets, but weren’t entirely comfortable with either. Too big to fit in a pocket but too small to be really useful can be an unpleasant place to be, as my friends at OQO can attest. And if the Pad is an incremental gadget, rather than a replacement, as my first paragraph indicates, that too will cause problems, since it limits the market to those willing and able to acquire a new device. Finally, using a custom chip designed in-house certainly can improve performance, especially because of hardware/software integration, but as countless companies have learned, the in-house approach leaves you falling further and further behind the cost curves of your competitors. Just ask Jonathan Schwartz of Sun, who lost his job when Oracle saved Sun from oblivion.

That being said, if anybody can defeat the tweener curse, it’s Apple.

Wall Street: “Trust Us.” Me: “No!”

Last week the Wall Street Journal wrote an article on the SEC‘s efforts to ban “naked access,” which is a system whereby big stock traders are given direct access to brokers’ computers so that they can trade faster. The SEC fears that this could be destabilizing to markets. Wall Street says that naked access improves liquidity. They also say that “high-speed trading firms are sophisticated and have risk-management tools that limit the likelihood of destabilizing trades.”

Haven’t we heard that song before? Wall Street said that they were sophisticated traders of mortgage-backed securities, and that their risk-management models would keep them from getting in trouble. We know how that turned out. I’m no expert on naked access, but I know that when Wall Street says “trust us,” I make sure they haven’t just stolen my wallet.

Along the same lines, here is an article in Slate describing how Wall Street has always complained about regulations that ended up helping the industry.

Shareholder Governance and Technology

In many of the discussions about executive compensation and Wall Street bonuses, it has been noted that shareholders are, theoretically, supposed to exercise some control, at least via election of directors. However, retail investors rarely take the time to read their proxy statements, let alone vote. This morning Eliot Spitzer (yes, that Eliot Spitzer) wrote an article in Slate listing several websites that are trying to use technology to both educate shareholders and to inspire them to get active and take control of the companies they own.

Who Rents What Movies?

Check out this totally cool map that shows the top 10 Netflix rentals by zip code for 12 metropolitan areas.

Business Schools Adding Creative Thinking

The NY Times recently wrote a story about how business schools are, in the wake of the financial meltdown, realizing that they need to teach future business leaders to think in creative, flexible and interdisciplinary ways. This is news? I’m no captain of industry, but to me it seems incredibly obvious that in business, like in the rest of life, the right way to make decisions is to pull together disparate data points to draw a conclusion, and then be willing to change that decision as new data comes in. Maybe the fact that this is news is what has been wrong with business schools all along.